Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Novara		Pro Vercelli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.05	3.45
	2.13	3.17	3.57
	1.94	3.16	4.13	Watch
	2.1	3.02	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.17)	3.1 ↑ (2.98)	3.64 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
44.8%

Draw
29.8%

Pro Vercelli
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.7%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

30.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Pro Vercelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Novara - Pro Vercelli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Pro Vercelli (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pro Vercelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boseggia E. (G) 70. Valdesi A. 5. Bertoncini D. 26. Lorenzini F. 72. Agyemang G. 19. Collodel R. 4. Malaspina M. 99. Basso G. 10. Donadio C. 71. D'Alessio L. 20. da Graca C.	97. Livieri A. (G) 28. Carosso A. 44. Clemente G. 3. Coccolo L. 18. Piran L. 14. Iotti I. 30. Huiberts D. 8. Burruano A. 92. Akpa Akpro J. 26. Comi G. 11. Sow A.
Substitutes
36. Arboscello R. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 17. Dell'Erba D. 27. Deseri G. 25. Foti 15. Khailoti O. 7. Lanini E. 11. Ledonne N. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 21. Ranieri R. 12. Rossetti	9. Coppola G. 24. Emmanuello S. 31. Fofana 12. Lancellotti L. (G) 5. Marchetti S. 1. Passador P. (G) 29. Pino E. 16. Ronchi N. 21. Sow O. 20. Tarantola L. 6. Thiam M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Sow A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Iotti I. 🟨,
56', D'Alessio L. ↓, Lanini E. ↑,
57', Malaspina M. ↓, Ranieri R. ↑,
60', 🟨,
63', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
70', Agyemang G. ↓, Dell'Erba D. ↑,
74', Carosso A. ↓, Pino E. ↑,
74', Sow A. ↓, Marchetti S. ↑,
78', Livieri A. 🟨,
82', Basso G. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
85', Burruano A. ↓, Emmanuello S. ↑,
85', Huiberts D. ↓, Ronchi N. ↑,
90+1', Piran L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Novara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Novara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Novara won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
14.09.25	Pro Patria - Novara	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Novara - Trento	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Novara	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Novara - Inter U23	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Juventus U23 - Novara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTTTL
- Pro Vercelli
Italian Serie C Group A
13.09.25	Pro Vercelli - Virtus Verona	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Brescia - Pro Vercelli	5:0 ✺
29.08.25	Pro Vercelli - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Pro Patria - Pro Vercelli	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Vercelli	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
03.02.25	Pro Vercelli - Novara	1:0
24.09.24	Novara - Pro Vercelli	1:0
16.03.24	Novara - Pro Vercelli	2:2
13.11.23	Pro Vercelli - Novara	3:3
29.01.23	Novara - Pro Vercelli	0:1
24.09.22	Pro Vercelli - Novara	1:2
23.01.21	Novara - Pro Vercelli	1:2

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