The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alesves 18.5%
Draw 23.8%
Ardoi 57.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.8%
24.2%
60%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.8%
24.2%
60.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alesves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Ardoi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alesves than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
67', 2 - 0, ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Gurpegui U. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Acin Y. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).
Alesves is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ardoi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Ardoi is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Alesves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Alesves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.