Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alfaro		Alavés B

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.92	2.52
	3.13	2.86	2.42
	3.41	2.91	2.19	Watch
	2.8	2.88	2.61
	3.05	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.41)	2.91 (2.91)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfaro
30.3%

Draw
31.4%

Alavés B
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

31.4%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

30.4%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Alavés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Alfaro - Alavés B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Pinillos Wilson L. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Aragues C. ⚽,
30', 0 - 3, Aragues C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Alfaro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alavés B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alfaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alavés B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Alfaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.10.25	SD Logroñés - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Zaragoza B - Alfaro	3:2 ✺
05.10.25	Alfaro - Utebo	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Gernika - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Alfaro - Basconia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWLT
- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.10.25	Alavés B - Gernika	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Basconia - Alavés B	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Alavés B - Sestao	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Eibar B - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Alavés B - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.04.25	Alfaro - Alavés B	2:4
15.12.24	Alavés B - Alfaro	0:1
09.04.23	Alfaro - Alavés B	1:1
27.11.22	Alavés B - Alfaro	1:0

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