Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alfaro		Barbastro

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.25
	2.24	2.8	3.35
	2.28	2.79	3.44	Watch
	2.34	2.92	3.34
	2.24	2.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.93)	2.83 ↓ (3.21)	3.35 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfaro
40.5%

Draw
32.2%

Barbastro
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

27.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfaro's form might have worsened.

Barbastro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Alfaro - Barbastro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Sola X. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Barbastro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alfaro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.03.25	Anguiano - Alfaro	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Alfaro - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	SD Logroñés - Alfaro	4:1 ✺
23.02.25	Alfaro - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Utebo - Alfaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLTL
- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.03.25	Barbastro - Real Sociedad C	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Subiza - Barbastro	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Teruel - Barbastro	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Barbastro - Anguiano	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Barbastro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.11.24	Barbastro - Alfaro	0:1

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