Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Alfaro		Cirbonero

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Alfaro
45.1%

Draw
30.3%

Cirbonero
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.4%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.5%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Cirbonero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cirbonero than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Alfaro has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cirbonero is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alfaro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.12.22	Mutilvera - Alfaro	4:2 ✺
04.12.22	Alfaro - San Juan	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Alavés B - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Alfaro - Gernika	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Alfaro - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL
- CA Cirbonero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.12.22	Cirbonero - Utebo	0:2 ✺
04.12.22	Tarazona - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Cirbonero - Izarra	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Tudelano - Cirbonero	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Cirbonero - Intercity	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLLWL

Alfaro - Cirbonero