Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Alfaro		San Juan

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3.1
	2.06	3	3.6
	2.15	2.95	3.25
	2.17	3.06	3.52
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.09	3.1	3.42
	2.17	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (3.16)	2.98 ↓ (3.24)	3.34 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfaro
42.2%

Draw
30.5%

San Juan
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

28.1%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfaro's performance.

San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Juan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Juan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alfaro - San Juan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

The competitors look crappy now.

San Juan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.11.22	Alavés B - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Alfaro - Gernika	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Alfaro - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.11.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alfaro	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Alfaro - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLTW
- AD San Juan
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.11.22	San Juan - Utebo	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Tarazona - San Juan	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	San Juan - Numancia	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.11.22	San Juan - Izarra	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Tudelano - San Juan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTL

Alfaro - San Juan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide