Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alfaro		Tudelano

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.1	1.85
	3.52	3.28	2.01	Watch
	3.92	3.04	1.94
	3	2.96	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (4.21)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	2.04 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfaro
25.4%

Draw
29.6%

Tudelano
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

27.4%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

26.4%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Tudelano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tudelano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tudelano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alfaro - Tudelano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tudelano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Tudelano (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Tudelano (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tudelano (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Alfaro has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tudelano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tudelano might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Tudelano will win today's game, with odds of 2.25.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Alfaro - the odds 4.21 are the expected chance of winning is 21.49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.11.25	Náxara - Alfaro	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Alfaro - Ejea	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Amorebieta - Alfaro	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Alfaro - Alavés B	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	SD Logroñés - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Tudelano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.11.25	Tudelano - Gernika	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Alavés B - Tudelano	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Tudelano - SD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	UD Logroñés - Tudelano	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Tudelano - Zaragoza B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.02.25	Tudelano - Alfaro	1:1
22.09.24	Alfaro - Tudelano	0:3
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Alfaro - Tudelano	0:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.02.23	Tudelano - Alfaro	1:1
25.09.22	Alfaro - Tudelano	2:0

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