Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 17 May 2026, Sunday
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Oyonesa |
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Varea |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.65 |
2.9 |
2.45 |
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2.68 |
2.78 |
2.62 |
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2.81 |
2.66 |
2.68 |
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2.72 |
2.18 |
3.91 |
Watch |
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2.63 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
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2.75 |
2.73 |
2.63 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.71 ↓ (3) |
2.69 ↓ (3.15) |
2.8 ↑ (2.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Oyonesa 33.6% | Draw 33.8% | Varea 32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oyonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oyonesa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Oyonesa - Varea Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oyonesa won 2.Oyonesa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).Varea's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Oyonesa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.1:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Oyonesa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Varea | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
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| 13 | Oyonesa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 | | | 10.05.26 | Varea - Oyonesa | 0:1 | | 10.01.26 | Oyonesa - Varea | 0:1 | | 08.06.25 | Varea - Oyonesa | 1:0 | | 01.06.25 | Oyonesa - Varea | 0:0 | | 27.10.24 | Varea - Oyonesa | 3:4 | | 01.05.24 | Varea - Oyonesa | 0:0 | | 07.01.24 | Oyonesa - Varea | 0:0 |
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