Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Alfreton Town		Derby County

	1	X	2
	26.00	13.00	1.04
	16.17	8.6	1.09
	50	12.1	1.03
	16	7.9	1.08
	21	11.7	1.07	Watch
	19	8.2	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	24.7 ↑ (21)	10.25 ↓ (11.7)	1.07 (1.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
3.8%

Draw
9.1%

Derby County
87.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

4.5%

87.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Alfreton Town - Derby County Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alfreton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Derby will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Benson D. . Dixon C. . Ligendza S. . Odunaiya D. . Parker S. R. . Solanke T. . Trialist . Trialist A . Trialist B . Trialist C . Youmbi D.	31. Vickers J. (G) 8. Clark B. 5. Clarke M. 3. Forsyth C. 29. Fraulo O. 40. Hedges R. 22. Johnston M. 9. Morris C. 28. Sanderson D. 27. Travis L. (C) 23. Ward J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Ward J. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Clark B. ⚽,
40', Hedges R. ↓, Harvey R. ↑,
43', Benson D. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Trialist ↓, Trialist D ↑,
46', Trialist A ↓, Gough B. ↑,
63', Trialist ↓, Wright J. ↑,
63', Kruszynski J. ↓, Trialist E ↑,
63', Odunaiya D. ↓, Trialist F ↑,
75', Ligendza S. ↓, Trialist G ↑,

Preview

Derby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Derby is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Alfreton Town - Boston United	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Alfreton Town - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Alfreton Town - Notts County	0:5 ✺
English National League North
25.04.26	Alfreton Town - Curzon Ashton	3:3 ✺
18.04.26	Marine - Alfreton Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTLTW
- Derby County
English League Championship
02.05.26	Derby County - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Queens Park Rangers - Derby County	2:3 ✺
21.04.26	Norwich City - Derby County	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Derby County - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Southampton - Derby County	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.22	Alfreton Town - Derby County	2:1

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