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Current Win Probability
Lancaster City 45.8%
Draw 27.3%
Gainsborough Trinity 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
26.8%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
25.8%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Lancaster City - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Bailey S. ⚽,
57', 2 - 0, Amison J. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 0, Thompson D. ⚽,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Lancaster won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Gainsborough
10
5
1
4
20:14
6
16
12
Lancaster
12
5
1
6
16:24
-8
16
Last Results with these Odds
Gainsborough Trinity - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.36%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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