Match Info

National League North - Round 3

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday


	Alfreton Town		South Shields

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.9
	2	3.25	3.2
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	2.27	3.47	2.97
	2.67	2.79	2.92	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.25
	2.13	3.35	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.45)	3.25 ↑ (2.99)	3.07 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
41.7%

Draw
28.3%

South Shields
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

30.7%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

South Shields has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alfreton Town - South Shields Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alfreton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). South Shields will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alfreton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). South Shields (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
90+2', 0 - 1, Scott C. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 2, Blackett P. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Alfreton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

South Shields is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Alfreton has had a series of home games.

Alfreton could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Alfreton Town - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.6%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
16.08.25	Alfreton Town - Darlington	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Bedford Town - Alfreton Town	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Alfreton Town - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Alfreton Town - Burton Albion	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Alfreton Town - Notts County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTLL
- South Shields FC
English National League North
16.08.25	Leamington - South Shields	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	South Shields - Marine	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Hartlepool United - South Shields	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	South Shields - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	South Shields - Shildon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.02.25	South Shields - Alfreton Town	2:1
26.11.24	Alfreton Town - South Shields	2:4
13.02.24	Alfreton Town - South Shields	1:0
05.08.23	South Shields - Alfreton Town	3:1

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