Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Alfreton Town		Notts County

	1	X	2
	6.50	4.60	1.35
	5.80	4.70	1.38
	7.37	5.14	1.29
	25.00	13.81	1.00	Watch
	7.20	4.75	1.24
	7.17	4.70	1.40	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.84 ↑ (5.8)	6.28 ↑ (4.75)	1.28 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
9.7%

Draw
15.2%

Notts County
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

19.7%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfreton Town's form might have worsened.

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.

Alfreton Town - Notts County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Gibbons J. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Sanders M. H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 0 - 3, Iwunze H. (Penalty Awarded),
71', 0 - 4, Grant C. ⚽,
90', 0 - 5, Robertson S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 0.

In this match, Notts County is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
25.04.26	Alfreton Town - Curzon Ashton	3:3 ✺
18.04.26	Marine - Alfreton Town	2:3 ✺
14.04.26	Alfreton Town - Buxton	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Alfreton Town - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Leamington - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTTW
- Notts County
English League Two
25.05.26	Notts County - Salford City	3:0 ✺
15.05.26	Notts County - Chesterfield	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Chesterfield - Notts County	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Notts County - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Colchester United - Notts County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.07.25	Alfreton Town - Notts County	0:1
English FA Cup
01.11.24	Notts County - Alfreton Town	5:1
Club Friendly
09.07.24	Alfreton Town - Notts County	2:2
25.07.23	Alfreton Town - Notts County	0:5
12.07.22	Alfreton Town - Notts County	0:2
12.09.20	Alfreton Town - Notts County	1:2
26.07.19	Alfreton Town - Notts County	1:0

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