Match Info

National League North - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Bedford Town		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.15
	2.9	3	2.2
	3.1	3.25	2.18
	3.1	3.38	2.24
	3.42	3.28	2.10	Watch
	3.17	3.24	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.43)	3.23 ↑ (3.22)	2.18 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
29.4%

Draw
28.4%

Alfreton Town
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.3%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bedford Town's form might have worsened.

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alfreton Town's recent form is better than expected.

Bedford Town - Alfreton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Marsh T. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Ligendza S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 2, Fewster B. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Marsh T. ⚽,

Preview

Bedford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bedford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Bedford Town - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.45%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Alfreton Town - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.26%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.04.25	Bedford Town - Stourbridge	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Hitchin Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Bedford Town - Stratford Town	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Lowestoft Town - Bedford Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW
- Alfreton Town
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Alfreton Town - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Alfreton Town - Burton Albion	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Alfreton Town - Notts County	0:1 ✺
English National League North
26.04.25	Radcliffe - Alfreton Town	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Alfreton Town - Buxton	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
15.12.20	Alfreton Town - Bedford Town	Alfreton walkover

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