Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Cartagena		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.8
				Watch
	1.92	3.15	3.95
	2.02	3.3	3.71
	2.07	2.91	4.02	Watch
	1.94	3.22	3.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.04)	3.12 ↑ (3.12)	3.88 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
46.6%

Draw
29.6%

Algeciras
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

29%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cartagena - Algeciras Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cartagena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 2. Jurado M. 5. Baz I. 4. Serrano R. 22. Martinez N. (C) 20. Gomez D. 10. Larrea P. 6. Fidalgo A. 16. Martin A. 17. Sanchez K. 19. Chiki	1. Moreno I. (G) 3. Marquez J. 11. Sanchez T. 4. Coch A. 6. Mayorga A. 20. Alamo J. 8. Turrillo I. (C) 7. Rastrojo J. 21. Garcia J. 9. Gonzaga M. 19. Obeng I.
Substitutes
14. Alcaniz E. 7. Calderon C. 21. Chuca 13. Garcia L. (G) 3. Jimenez N. 23. Nacho 9. Ortuno A. 18. Perejon D. 11. Redondo L. 30. Reyes J. (G) 15. Velez F.	22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 2. Arauz C. 24. Castro O. 10. Garrido D. 16. Gomez A. 30. Perez M. 23. Riley J. 15. Ruiz V. 26. Villalba A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Fidalgo A. 🟨,
35', Obeng I. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Coch A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Rastrojo J. 🟨,
63', Sanchez K. ↓, Redondo L. ↑,
63', Martin A. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Serrano R. ⚽,
71', Sanchez T. 🟨,
72', Chiki ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
72', Fidalgo A. ↓, Alcaniz E. ↑,
75', Marquez J. ↓, Arauz C. ↑,
76', Obeng I. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
76', Turrillo I. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
77', Gomez D. ↓, Nacho ↑,
81', Coch A. ↓, Ruiz V. ↑,
88', Mayorga A. 🟨,
90+1', Gonzaga M. ↓, Castro O. ↑,
90+4', Castro O. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Cartagena is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.10.25	Sevilla B - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Cartagena - Tarazona	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
24.09.25	Sabadell - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Cartagena - Hércules	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLTW
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.10.25	Algeciras - CE Europa	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Betis B - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Algeciras - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Algeciras - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Hércules - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.02.20	Algeciras - Cartagena	1:1
06.10.19	Cartagena - Algeciras	2:0
03.04.16	Cartagena - Algeciras	1:1
15.11.15	Algeciras - Cartagena	1:1
04.05.14	Algeciras - Cartagena	0:1
14.12.13	Cartagena - Algeciras	2:2

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