Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Eldense		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.88	3.2	4.05
	2.03	3.29	3.58	Watch
	1.86	3.13	4.14
	1.78	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.03)	3.18 ↓ (3.29)	4.01 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
48.7%

Draw
28.6%

Algeciras
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.3%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Eldense - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 19. Ibarrondo A. 2. Serradell A. G. 3. Smand F. 21. Ruiz D. 12. Molina M. 8. Bustillo M. 11. Bellari H. 18. Macho G. 10. Fidel (C) 9. Dioni	1. Moreno I. (G) 2. Arauz C. 4. Coch A. 15. Ruiz V. 3. Marquez J. 20. Alamo J. 8. Turrillo I. (C) 19. Obeng I. 21. Garcia J. 7. Rastrojo J. 9. Gonzaga M.
Substitutes
15. Billups B. 16. Calvo B. 17. Clemente J. 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 20. Ibanez R. 26. Jimenez C. 22. Nunez R. 7. Quintana Nacho 13. Valencia P. (G) 23. Vallejo J.	22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 24. Castro O. 10. Garrido D. 16. Gomez A. 14. Nader A. 30. Perez M. (G) 23. Riley J. 32. Vilches Gonzalez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Dioni ⚽,
24', Ruiz V. 🟨,
33', Ruiz V. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
35', Alamo J. 🟨,
41', Dioni 🟨,
45+2', Macho G. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 1 - 1, Turrillo I. ⚽,
61', Coch A. 🟨,
63', Rastrojo J. 🟨,
64', Bustillo M. ↓, Quintana Nacho ↑,
64', Bellari H. ↓, Clemente J. ↑,
72', Ruiz D. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,
74', Arauz C. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Dioni ⚽,
83', Coch A. ↓, Nader A. ↑,
83', Dioni ↓, Calvo B. ↑,
83', Fidel ↓, Ibanez R. ↑,
84', Quintana Nacho 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Marquez J. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, Serradell A. G. ⚽,
90+3', Serradell A. G. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Algeciras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Eldense is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Real Jaén - Eldense	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.10.25	Eldense - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	CE Europa - Eldense	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Marbella - Eldense	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Eldense - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTLT
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.25	Algeciras - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Cartagena - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Algeciras - CE Europa	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Betis B - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Algeciras - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLTW

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