The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Algeciras 41.9%
Draw 30.2%
Antequera 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
28.5%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
28.5%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Algeciras - Antequera Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 3. Marquez J. 6. Mayorga A. 4. Coch A. 11. Sanchez T. 7. Rastrojo J. 24. Castro O. 8. Turrillo I. (C) 19. Obeng I. 21. Garcia J. 9. Gonzaga M.
1. Perez S. (G) 2. Anton J. 15. Raul Gimenez 4. Barbu 19. Rodriguez I. 6. Albentosa R. 10. Luismi Gutierrez (C) 22. Quintana A. 23. Diz Acena R. 11. Siddiki O. 16. Gene A.
Substitutes
22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 2. Arauz C. 10. Garrido D. 16. Gomez A. 14. Nader A. 30. Perez M. (G) 23. Riley J. 15. Ruiz V. 26. Villalba A.
13. Alcover D. (G) 18. Bassele M. 7. Biabiany J. 21. Chit O. 17. Gonzalez I. . Morales I. (G) 9. Ribeiro 24. Rivas L. 14. Sanchez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Sanchez T. ⚽,
33', Luismi Gutierrez 🟨,
45', Gonzaga M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diz Acena R. ↓, Chit O. ↑,
49', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
62', Garcia J. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
72', Siddiki O. ↓, Biabiany J. ↑,
72', Luismi Gutierrez ↓, Ribeiro ↑,
72', Ramos D. ↓, Bassele M. ↑,
78', Riley J. 🟨,
82', Obeng I. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
85', Rastrojo J. ↓, Ruiz V. ↑,
85', Marquez J. ↓, Adot Barandiaran P. A. ↑,
87', Rodriguez I. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+6', Moreno I. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Algeciras is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Antequera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Antequera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Algeciras is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).