Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirador (Algeciras)

Referee: Mogio A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Algeciras		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.7
	1.95	3.10	3.50
	1.9	3.15	3.9
	1.99	3.2	4.34
	1.91	3.28	4.15	Watch
	1.82	3	4.25
	1.84	3.72	4.24
	1.87	3.15	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.92)	3.23 ↓ (3.36)	3.98 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
48.4%

Draw
28.5%

Rayo Majadahonda
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Algeciras have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Algeciras - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 3. Marquez J. 2. Carmona F. 5. Gomez A. 15. Ruiz V. 11. Sanchez T. 19. Iglesias D. Y. 20. Alamo J. 8. Turrillo I. (C) 18. Martinez P. 7. Garcia J.	13. Prieto M. (G) 5. Gallardo D. 4. Ramos Cruz D. (C) 24. Sina B. 17. Mesa O. 8. Amaro A. 18. Aguado T. 28. Ramos I. 14. Yoshimura Y. 15. Celorio N. 19. Gonzaga M.
Substitutes
14. Almeida D. 17. Aviles J. 6. Castro O. 4. Coch A. 10. Garrido D. 29. Herrero E. 13. Paradowski T. (G) 23. Riley J. 9. Rubio R.	16. Alvarez I. 7. Calcada G. 21. Cambra J. 2. Choco 6. del Pozo D. 23. Duran J. 1. Fuidias T. (G) 22. Quintanilla R. 20. Sotillos A.
Coaches
Colunga A.	Fernandez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Gomez A. 🟨,
28', Gallardo D. 🟨,
41', Gonzaga M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ruiz V. ↓, Castro O. ↑,
55', Ramos Cruz D. 🟨,
58', Amaro A. ↓, del Pozo D. ↑,
58', Iglesias D. Y. ↓, Aviles J. ↑,
65', Garcia J. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
65', Turrillo I. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Carmona F. ⚽, Castro O. (A),
71', Ramos I. ↓, Alvarez I. ↑,
71', Gallardo D. ↓, Cambra J. ↑,
71', Celorio N. ↓, Sotillos A. ↑,
78', Yoshimura Y. ↓, Calcada G. ↑,
79', Alvarez I. 🟨,
81', Sanchez T. 🟨,
83', Martinez P. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
90+3', del Pozo D. 🟨,
90+4', Sotillos A. 🟨,
90+5', Cambra J. 🟨,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 16th in the Relegation).

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Rayo Majadahonda may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Algeciras is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Algeciras has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Algeciras against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Algeciras	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7
17	Rayo Majadahonda	6	1	1	4	5:7	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.09.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Algeciras	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Algeciras - Águilas	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Algeciras	4:2 ✺
04.09.26	Villarreal B - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Algeciras - Cartagena	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLL
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.09.26	CE Europa - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Teruel	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ibiza - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Villarreal B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.04.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Algeciras	0:2
03.09.22	Algeciras - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1

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