The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CE Europa 40%
Draw 29.4%
Algeciras 30.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.1%
29.5%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
29%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CE Europa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CE Europa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
CE Europa - Algeciras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ruiz N. (G) 4. Cano A. (C) 3. Sgro M. 5. Campeny A. 2. Coto E. 14. Morales V. 8. Gori 7. Ribeiro F. 19. Mascaro J. 9. Noureddine K. 18. Teto A.
1. Moreno I. (G) 3. Marquez J. 5. Gomez A. 2. Carmona F. 11. Sanchez T. 10. Garrido D. (C) 6. Castro O. 20. Alamo J. 17. Aviles J. 9. Rubio R. 18. Martinez P.
Substitutes
10. Angles Sanchez M. 30. Cadenas J. F. 20. Cancelo P. 16. Cardelus G. 15. Edo V. 11. Exposito A. 1. Madrigal L. (G) 22. Padillo A. 21. Pallares S. 23. Tito Tolosa 17. Zayzoun Y.
22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 14. Almeida D. 4. Coch A. 7. Garcia J. 19. Iglesias D. Y. 13. Paradowski T. (G) 23. Riley J. 15. Ruiz V. 8. Turrillo I.
Coaches
Blanco L.
Colunga A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Castro O. ⚽,
13', Teto A. 🟨,
14', Sanchez T. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Noureddine K. ⚽, Coto E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Cano A. ⚽,
52', Garrido D. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
52', Aviles J. ↓, Iglesias D. Y. ↑,
66', Castro O. ↓, Turrillo I. ↑,
66', Mascaro J. ↓, Padillo A. ↑,
68', Noureddine K. 🟨,
70', Turrillo I. 🟨,
75', Teto A. ↓, Zayzoun Y. ↑,
75', Noureddine K. ↓, Cadenas J. F. ↑,
83', Marquez J. 🟨,
83', Rubio R. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
88', Campeny A. 🟨,
90+1', Ribeiro F. ↓, Edo V. ↑,
90+6', Gori 🟨,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 15th).
Recent results have been tough for Europa (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Algeciras have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Algeciras could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Europa has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1.5:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Europa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:3 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Algeciras
9
4
1
4
13:13
0
13
18
CE Europa
9
2
1
6
6:15
-9
7
Last Results with these Odds
Algeciras - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.33%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.