Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirador (Algeciras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Algeciras		Intercity

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	3.5
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.97	2.9	3.3
	2.01	3.2	3.6	Watch
	1.99	3.28	3.63
	1.97	2.9	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.03)	3.11 ↓ (3.35)	3.47 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
45.5%

Draw
28.8%

Intercity
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

26.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Algeciras - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia L. (G) 20. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 22. Coch A. 4. Spatz L. M. 3. Merchan D. 23. Gomez J. 19. Illesca M. 21. Celorio N. 8. Turrillo I. 10. Esteban Diego 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L.	13. Casado S. (G) 2. San Emeterio B. 4. Hernandez A. 16. Gonzalez Nacho 17. Caballo D. 7. Zequi 18. Burlamaqui A. 23. Gonzalez N. 5. Llonch P. 10. Martinez B. 8. Nsue E.
Substitutes
31. Dominiguez C. 15. Fernandez M. 5. Gaixas A. 18. Hernandez Garcia J. 14. Javi Alonso 17. Leiva A. 6. Montes E. 27. Recagno D. 7. Rodri 11. Sanchez T. 1. Venteo I. (G)	20. Codina M. . Fofo 1. Freixanet P. (G) 6. Gracia J. 28. Martinez J. 27. Martinez M. . Mestanza A. 22. Montero Sergio . Pastor S. 26. Ron K. 25. Zhernovenko I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Zequi 🟨,
60', Gomez J. ↓, Rodri ↑,
64', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
71', Nsue E. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
71', Zequi ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
79', Coch A. ↓, Gaixas A. ↑,
79', Turrillo I. ↓, Montes E. ↑,
80', Gaixas A. 🟨,
81', Merchan D. ↓, Sanchez T. ↑,
81', Esteban Diego ↓, Leiva A. ↑,
84', Burlamaqui A. ↓, Fofo ↑,
84', Gonzalez N. ↓, Gracia J. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Leiva A. ⚽,
90', Caballo D. ↓, Ron K. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Algeciras is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Intercity is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Algeciras will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Algeciras won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.01.25	Atlético Madrid B - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Algeciras - Antequera	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Ibiza - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Algeciras - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Algeciras	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TTWWT
- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.01.25	Intercity - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Real Murcia - Intercity	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Intercity - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
07.12.24	Recreativo Huelva - Intercity	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Intercity - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.09.24	Intercity - Algeciras	0:1
10.02.24	Intercity - Algeciras	1:0
11.11.23	Algeciras - Intercity	0:1

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