Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Can Drago (Barcelona)

Referee: Marco M. R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	CE Europa		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	3.10
	2.15	3.00	3.00
	2.12	3.00	3.20
	2.29	3.15	3.23
	2.14	3.24	3.4	Watch
	2.20	3.10	3.10
	2.23	3.22	3.22
	2.13	3.05	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.89)	3.11 ↓ (3.41)	3.17 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CE Europa
41.9%

Draw
29.3%

Rayo Majadahonda
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.6%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CE Europa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CE Europa's form might have worsened.

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayo Majadahonda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CE Europa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CE Europa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

CE Europa - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ruiz N. (G) 2. Coto E. 3. Sgro M. 4. Cano A. (C) 5. Campeny A. 22. Padillo A. 8. Gori 14. Morales V. 7. Ribeiro F. 18. Teto A. 9. Noureddine K.	13. Prieto M. (G) 2. Choco 4. Ramos Cruz D. (C) 24. Sina B. 23. Duran J. 18. Aguado T. 22. Quintanilla R. 14. Yoshimura Y. 21. Cambra J. 11. Hernandez R. 19. Gonzaga M.
Substitutes
10. Angles Sanchez M. 30. Cadenas J. F. 20. Cancelo P. 16. Cardelus G. 15. Edo V. 11. Exposito A. 1. Madrigal L. (G) 19. Mascaro J. 21. Pallares S. 23. Tito Tolosa 17. Zayzoun Y.	16. Alvarez I. 8. Amaro A. 7. Calcada G. 15. Celorio N. 6. del Pozo D. 5. Gallardo D. 17. Mesa O. 32. Miguel D. (G) 28. Ramos I.
Coaches
Blanco L.	Fernandez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Hernandez R. ↓, Alvarez I. ↑,
18', Noureddine K. 🟨,
23', Sgro M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Choco ↓, Gallardo D. ↑,
58', Gallardo D. 🟨,
60', Noureddine K. ↓, Zayzoun Y. ↑,
60', Sgro M. ↓, Edo V. ↑,
60', Teto A. ↓, Mascaro J. ↑,
64', Quintanilla R. ↓, Amaro A. ↑,
73', Gonzaga M. ↓, Calcada G. ↑,
73', Yoshimura Y. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
75', Padillo A. ↓, Cadenas J. F. ↑,
81', Morales V. 🟨,
87', Morales V. ↓, Tito Tolosa ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Cano A. ⚽,

Preview

Europa is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Rayo Majadahonda have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Europa holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Rayo Majadahonda	6	1	1	4	5:7	-2	4
18	CE Europa	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4

Last Results with these Odds

CE Europa - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.08%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Europa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.09.26	Real Murcia - CE Europa	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	CE Europa - Hércules	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Alcorcón - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	CE Europa - Real Jaén	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Girona B - CE Europa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLL
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.09.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Teruel	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ibiza - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Villarreal B	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTLLW

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