Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 4

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Rayo Majadahonda		Teruel

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.33
	1.83	3	4.1
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.05	3.11	3.82
	2.04	3.23	3.72	Watch
	1.98	2.9	3.7
	2	2.97	3.72
	2.03	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.53)	3.05 (3.05)	3.79 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
46.2%

Draw
29.8%

Teruel
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.5%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

29.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayo Majadahonda's performance.

Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Teruel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Majadahonda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Teruel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Majadahonda - Teruel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Prieto M. (G) 3. Diez A. 4. Ramos Cruz D. (C) 24. Sina B. 17. Mesa O. 18. Aguado T. 22. Quintanilla R. 14. Yoshimura Y. 21. Cambra J. 11. Hernandez R. 19. Gonzaga M.	25. Zarco A. (G) 16. Albisua H. 4. Felipe P. 15. Lopez A. 2. Borge A. 8. Romera M. 14. Relu (C) 3. de Diego J. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 21. Sese M. 9. Moraitis P.
Substitutes
16. Alvarez I. 8. Amaro A. 15. Celorio N. 2. Choco 6. del Pozo D. 23. Duran J. 30. Lopez F. 27. Martin G. 28. Ramos I.	18. Belevonis C. 24. Boriko S. 5. Goyo Medina 28. Igual C. 22. Llacer L. 7. Moreno S. 6. Nicholas N. 1. Palop A. (G) 10. Redon H.
Coaches
Fernandez G.	Ramirez Kiko

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Diez A. 🟨,
27', Albisua H. 🟨,
42', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Gonzaga M. ⚽, Diez A. (A),
57', Albisua H. ↓, Redon H. ↑,
57', Moraitis P. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
65', Diez A. ↓, Choco ↑,
65', Quintanilla R. ↓, del Pozo D. ↑,
70', Romera M. ↓, Belevonis C. ↑,
70', Felipe P. ↓, Boriko S. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Cambra J. ⚽, Hernandez R. (A),
78', Yoshimura Y. ↓, Ramos I. ↑,
78', Cambra J. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
84', Borge A. ↓, Goyo Medina ↑,
84', Mesa O. ↓, Duran J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Rayo Majadahonda is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Majadahonda has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1 (averaging 0:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rayo Majadahonda against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Rayo Majadahonda	6	1	1	4	5:7	-2	4
19	Teruel	6	0	2	4	2:12	-10	2

Last Results with these Odds

Rayo Majadahonda - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.72%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Teruel - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.83%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.09.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ibiza - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Villarreal B	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Majadahonda	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLWL
- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.09.26	Teruel - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Real Murcia - Teruel	4:0 ✺
31.08.26	Teruel - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Teruel - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Valencia - Teruel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.03.24	Teruel - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0
30.09.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Teruel	0:0

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