Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirador (Algeciras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Algeciras		Teruel

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4.1
	2.02	2.92	3.95
	1.93	2.88	5.06
	2.12	2.74	4.29	Watch
	2.05	2.6	4
	2.05	2.64	4.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.16)	2.81 ↓ (2.82)	4.29 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
45.9%

Draw
32.7%

Teruel
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

32.9%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

32.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Algeciras - Teruel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 4. Coch A. 15. Ruiz V. 11. Sanchez T. 21. Garcia J. 8. Turrillo I. 10. Garrido D. 20. Alamo J. 24. Castro O. 19. Obeng I.	13. Ruben Galvez (G) 22. Joseda 4. Van Rijn N. 15. Rodriguez A. 12. Nicholas N. 3. Fondarella D. 10. Sutherland T. 14. Relu 6. Redon H. 8. Blesa Alex 21. Ramos I.
Substitutes
2. Arauz C. 17. Aviles J. 13. Casado S. (G) 16. Gomez A. 9. Gonzaga M. 3. Marquez J. 14. Nader A. 7. Rastrojo J. 23. Riley J.	11. Alvaro Merencio 16. de Palmas R. 5. Goyo Medina 9. Lolo 29. Marti A. 7. Moreno S. 1. Palop A. (G) 17. Traore M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Ramos I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramos I. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
59', 🟨,
62', Garrido D. ↓, Aviles J. ↑,
62', Turrillo I. ↓, Gonzaga M. ↑,
63', Sutherland T. ↓, Goyo Medina ↑,
63', Fondarella D. ↓, Alvaro Merencio ↑,
67', Adot Barandiaran P. A. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
73', Moreno S. 🟨,
75', Goyo Medina 🟨,
82', Blesa Alex ↓, Lolo ↑,
85', Obeng I. ↓, Rastrojo J. ↑,
90+1', Sanchez T. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)

Algeciras is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Teruel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Algeciras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Algeciras might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Algeciras	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7
19	Teruel	6	0	2	4	2:12	-10	2

Last Results with these Odds

Algeciras - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.02.26	Marbella - Algeciras	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Algeciras - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Algeciras - Eldense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Real Murcia - Algeciras	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Algeciras - Betis B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWTWW
- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.02.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Teruel	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Teruel - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sevilla B - Teruel	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Teruel - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Eldense - Teruel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.12.25	Teruel - Algeciras	1:0

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