Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirador (Algeciras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Algeciras		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.3	2.88	3.2
	2.37	2.92	3.37
	2.41	2.8	3.36	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.1
	2.34	2.72	3.3
	2.33	2.71	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 (2.33)	2.78 ↓ (2.98)	3.23 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
39.1%

Draw
32.7%

Eldense
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

31.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

31.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Algeciras - Eldense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Algeciras (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Algeciras (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. (C) 6. Mayorga A. 15. Ruiz V. 3. Marquez J. 7. Rastrojo J. 24. Castro O. 10. Garrido D. 20. Alamo J. 19. Obeng I. 21. Garcia J.	1. Vila R. (G) 17. Clemente J. (C) 2. Serradell A. G. 3. Smand F. 21. Ruiz D. 11. Bellari H. 16. Quintanilla R. 7. Quintana Nacho 18. Macho G. 10. Fidel 9. Dioni
Substitutes
2. Arauz C. 17. Aviles J. 13. Casado S. (G) 4. Coch A. 16. Gomez A. 14. Nader A. 23. Riley J. 11. Sanchez T.	24. Alba H. 15. Billups B. 8. Bustillo M. 6. Calvo B. 5. Gaixas A. 20. Ibanez R. 19. Ibarrondo A. 13. Valencia P. (G) 14. Vega O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Ruiz V. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Fidel ⚽,
31', 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Obeng I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bellari H. ↓, Calvo B. ↑,
72', Dioni ↓, Ibanez R. ↑,
80', Marquez J. 🟨,
83', Quintana Nacho ↓, Bustillo M. ↑,
83', Quintanilla R. ↓, Alba H. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Algeciras is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Eldense is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Algeciras could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Algeciras	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.01.26	Real Murcia - Algeciras	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Algeciras - Betis B	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Tarazona - Algeciras	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Algeciras - Sevilla B	3:0 ✺
19.12.25	Algeciras - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTWT
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.01.26	Eldense - Teruel	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Eldense	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Eldense - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Ibiza - Eldense	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Eldense - Betis B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.11.25	Eldense - Algeciras	3:2

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