Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 10

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Hocine Aït Ahmed Stadium (Tizi Ouzou)

Referee: Heeralall A. (Mus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 4
Algeria	ENTV, TV6
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
India	FanCode, FanCode
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Morocco	Al Aoula
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
Uganda	NBS Sport 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Algeria		Uganda

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	7	Watch
	1.46	4.15	6.4
	1.47	4.18	6.87
	1.88	3.40	4.11	Watch
				Watch
	1.53	3.99	6.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.42)	3.96 ↓ (4.3)	6.23 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeria
60.8%

Draw
24%

Uganda
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

21.9%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

21.3%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Algeria's form might have worsened.

Uganda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeria than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Algeria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uganda than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	4.8%	4.8%

Algeria - Uganda Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Algeria (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Uganda (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Algeria will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Algeria (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Uganda (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zidane L. (G) Granada CF 15. Belghali R. Verona 2. Mandi A. Lille 21. Bensebaini R. Dortmund 13. Hadjam J. Young Boys 6. Zorgane A. Royale Union SG 10. Maza I. Bayer Leverkusen 14. Boudaoui H. Nice 7. Mahrez R. (C) Al Ahli SC 11. Gouiri A. Marseille 18. Amoura M. Wolfsburg	19. Magoola S. (G) Richards Bay 5. Sibbick T. Burton 15. Obita J. Hibernian 13. Capradossi E. Universitatea Cluj 23. Kayondo A. Liberec 8. Aucho K. (C) Singida Black Stars 4. Semakula K. Al Adalah 7. Mato R. Vardar 21. Okello A. Vipers 22. Ssemugabi J. Kitara 11. Mukwala S. Simba
Substitutes
5. Belaid Z. Kabylie 16. Benbot O. (G) USM Alger 19. Bentaleb N. Lille 12. Benzia Y. Al Fayha 22. Bouanani B. VfB Stuttgart 17. Chaibi F. Eintracht Frankfurt 4. Chergui S. Paris FC 9. Chiakha A. Vejle 3. Dorval M. Bari 1. Guendouz A. (G) MC Alger 8. Hadj Moussa A. Feyenoord 20. Kebbal I. Paris FC	1. Alionzi N. (G) Mechal SC 6. Byaruhanga B. Oakland Roots 9. Ikpeazu U. St Johnstone 2. Kizito G. Kampala City 12. Mpande J. PVF-CAND 3. Mukundane H. Vipers 10. Mutyaba T. CS Sfaxien 14. Omedi D. APR 18. Onyango D. (G) Mamelodi Sundowns 20. Oyirwoth A. New England Revolution 17. Ssebagala E. NEC FC 16. Ssekiganda R.
Coaches
Petkovic V.	Put P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Mukwala S. ⚽, Semakula K. (A),
45+2', Kayondo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', Hadjam J. ↓, Dorval M. ↑,
67', Mahrez R. ↓, Hadj Moussa A. ↑,
67', Belghali R. ↓, Chergui S. ↑,
73', Ssemugabi J. ↓, Omedi D. ↑,
76', Boudaoui H. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Amoura M. (Pen),
82', Mukwala S. ↓, Mpande J. ↑,
83', Maza I. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
86', Magoola S. 🟨,
90+7', Okello A. ↓, Mutyaba T. ↑,
90+7', Mato R. ↓, Ikpeazu U. ↑,
90+7', Magoola S. ↓, Onyango D. ↑,
90+8', Gouiri A. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 1, Amoura M. (Pen),
90+16', Hadj Moussa A. 🟨,

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Algeria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Algeria is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Algeria won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeria
Friendly
09.10.25	Algeria - Palestine	3:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.10.25	Somalia - Algeria	0:3 ✺
08.09.25	Guinea - Algeria	0:0 ✺
04.09.25	Algeria - Botswana	3:1 ✺
African Nations Championship
23.08.25	Sudan - Algeria	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWTWL
- Uganda
FIFA World Cup
09.10.25	Botswana - Uganda	0:1 ✺
08.09.25	Uganda - Somalia	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Uganda - Mozambique	4:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
23.08.25	Uganda - Senegal	0:1 ✺
18.08.25	South Africa - Uganda	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

African Nations Championship
04.08.25	Uganda - Algeria	0:3
FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Uganda - Algeria	1:2
Africa Cup of Nations
18.06.23	Uganda - Algeria	1:2
04.06.22	Algeria - Uganda	2:0

Algeria - Uganda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide