Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Alhaurino		Marbella

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.85	2.7
	2.48	2.88	2.5
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.58	2.96	2.59
	2.56	3.25	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.88)	2.99 ↑ (2.83)	2.57 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alhaurino
35.4%

Draw
29.9%

Marbella
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

30.7%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

22%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alhaurino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alhaurino's performance.

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alhaurino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marbella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alhaurino - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Alhaurino has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Marbella is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marbella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alhaurino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.11.21	Huétor Tájar - Alhaurino	3:0 ✺
14.11.21	Alhaurino - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Atlético Porcuna - Alhaurino	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Alhaurino - Torre Del Mar	1:3 ✺
24.10.21	Motril - Alhaurino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLT
- Marbella FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
28.11.21	Marbella - Huétor Tájar	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Juventud de Torremolinos - Marbella	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Marbella - Atlético Porcuna	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Torre Del Mar - Marbella	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Marbella - Motril	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTW

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