Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 14

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)


	Marbella		Huétor Tájar

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.47	3.65	5.1
	1.59	3.55	4.6
	1.62	3.56	4.85
	1.62	3.65	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.43)	3.6 ↓ (3.72)	4.87 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
56.8%

Draw
24.8%

Huétor Tájar
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.3%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

21.9%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Huétor Tájar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marbella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huétor Tájar than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Marbella - Huétor Tájar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs) and 7).

Marbella is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Huétor Tájar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marbella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Huétor Tájar have a series of home games.

In this match Marbella is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marbella won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Marbella won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.12.22	Huracán Melilla - Marbella	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Marbella - Almeria B	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Malaga B - Marbella	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Marbella - Arenas Armilla	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Torreperogil - Marbella	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWL
- CD Huétor Tájar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
07.12.22	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Huétor Tájar - Málaga Juniors	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Huétor Tájar - Almeria B	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Huétor Tájar - Albacete Balompié	0:3 ET ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.11.22	Malaga B - Huétor Tájar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
27.03.22	Huétor Tájar - Marbella	3:2
28.11.21	Marbella - Huétor Tájar	0:1

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