Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo (Málaga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Juventud de Torremolinos		Marbella

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.24	3.21	3.26
	2.2	3.34	3.17	Watch
	2.15	3	3
	2.18	3.06	3.19
	2.2	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.34)	3.1 ↑ (3.01)	3.15 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Torremolinos
41.6%

Draw
29.4%

Marbella
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Torremolinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventud de Torremolinos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Juventud de Torremolinos - Marbella Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fran Martinez (G) 2. Edu Lopez 15. Hernandez J. 4. Merida Palomino J. (C) 22. Roldan R. 11. Ribeiro I. 23. Lesedi S. A. 8. Penarroya C. 21. Christian 9. Pito Camacho 25. Diao U.	1. Garcia M. (G) 12. Fattore V. 4. Punal A. (C) 23. Escassi A. 3. Martinez A. 11. Boussefiane H. 6. Lopez A. 8. Eugeni 20. Cambra J. 10. Luis Alcalde 9. Rodri
Substitutes
12. Ajegun Perez R. 24. Alonso J. 6. Climent A. 17. Escardo A. 18. Fernandez A. 10. Gallego Cea F. 19. Opara L. 26. Vila Y. (G)	5. Acosta L. 17. Alexiel 2. Alvarez J. 18. Du Yuezheng 30. Guzman T. 27. Haruna M. 25. Munoz L. 19. Ohemeng E. 16. Ruiz A. 22. Toper 13. Vassilev D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Christian ↓, Gallego Cea F. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Cambra J. ⚽,
34', Pito Camacho 🟨,
43', Edu Lopez 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Boussefiane H. ↓, Ohemeng E. ↑,
62', Pito Camacho ↓, Climent A. ↑,
62', Diao U. ↓, Opara L. ↑,
64', Lesedi S. A. 🟨,
65', Rodri ↓, Munoz L. ↑,
65', Eugeni ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
65', Cambra J. ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
70', Gallego Cea F. 🟨,
75', Hernandez J. 🟨,
76', Luis Alcalde ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
77', Roldan R. ↓, Ajegun Perez R. ↑,
77', Hernandez J. ↓, Escardo A. ↑,
85', Garcia M. 🟨,
86', Climent A. 🟨,
90+3', Du Yuezheng 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Ajegun Perez R. ⚽,
90+9', Ajegun Perez R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Torremolinos have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marbella is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Marbella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Torremolinos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Torremolinos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Torremolinos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.12.25	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Villarreal B	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Teruel - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sevilla B - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLWTT
- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.12.25	Marbella - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Marbella - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Sevilla B - Marbella	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Marbella	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Marbella - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.03.22	Marbella - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:2
21.11.21	Juventud de Torremolinos - Marbella	2:1

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