Match Info

Turkish Cup - Round 2

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Referee: Aldemir M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Turkey	A Spor


	Aliaga		Samsunspor

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.1	1.7
	4.27	3.94	1.7	Watch
	3.95	4.03	1.78	Watch
	3.8	3.8	1.7
	4.06	4.21	1.71	Watch
	3.9	3.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (12.86)	3.98 ↓ (5.19)	1.71 ↑ (1.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aliaga
23.2%

Draw
23.1%

Samsunspor
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.9%

17.1%

75.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaga's performance.

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samsunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Aliaga - Samsunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Aliaga will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Aliaga (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25, 1st Half - Aliaga (2.16) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliaga (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Anteplioglu K. (G) 48. Kartal E. 37. Paykoc K. 35. Picinciol S. 3. Kanci O. 6. Kilic H. 24. Sarikaya M. 7. Acikgoz M. 10. Yilmaz I. 20. Saymak M. 18. Babaoglu T.	12. Posiadala A. (G) 2. Mendes J. 16. Bulbul T. 17. Tomasson L. 5. Yuksel C. 28. Gonul S. 9. Marius 20. Ozbaskici M. 37. Satka L. 55. Cift Y. E. 30. Jarju S.
Substitutes
77. Gumus Y. 90. Karaahmet M. 70. Koc A. 44. Ozdemir N. 9. Ozek A. 25. Pekgoz A. (G) 8. Say F. 22. Yidirim O. 23. Yilmaz G.	45. Akyuz M. 99. Ceesay E. 15. Diabbate A. B. 36. Seker D. 48. Toruz E. B. (G) 33. Ustun E. (G) 22. Yaldir P.
Coaches
Cetin P.	Reis T.

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Aliaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aliaga has had a series of away games.

In this match, Samsunspor is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaga FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.01.26	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Aliaga	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Igdirspor - Aliaga	2:2 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
20.12.25	Bursaspor - Aliaga	0:0 ✺
16.12.25	Aliaga - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Menemenspor - Aliaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTTL
- Samsunspor
Turkish Super Cup
06.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Samsunspor - Eyüpspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
21.12.25	Göztepe - Samsunspor	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Mainz - Samsunspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
14.12.25	Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL

Upcoming Matches