The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aliaga 78.4%
Draw 14.3%
Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 7.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.7%
20%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.9%
19.1%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaga's performance.
Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaga that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aliaga - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Karaahmet M. ⚽, Kartal E. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Kavaklidere H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 3 - 0, Acikgoz M. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Aliaga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
İdman Yurdu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Aliaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.