Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza Atlético		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.2	1.92	Watch
	4.32	3.15	1.99
	4.19	3.26	1.93	Watch
	4	3.1	1.91
	3.93	3.42	1.91	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (2.99)	3.23 ↑ (2.95)	1.92 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
22.7%

Draw
28.8%

Alianza Lima
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

31.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.

Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Perleche E. 2. Suarez R. 4. Villegas J. C. 24. Gordillo A. 10. Diaz G. 23. Munoz A. 15. Lupu H. (C) 7. Coronel F. 17. Penilla C. 9. Robaldo V.	1. Duarte A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 6. Garces R. (C) 3. Antoni M. 13. Huaman M. 4. Chavez G. 7. Gaibor F. 20. Velez J. 11. Cantero A. 8. Castillo E. 9. Ramos L.
Substitutes
22. del Castillo J. 16. Fernandez S. 8. Flores F. 25. Guzman W. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 6. Lujan J. 19. Mendieta J. 20. Perez J. 77. Valladolid C.	55. Aquino P. 18. Burlamaqui A. 31. Carbajal C. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 32. Garcia J. 25. Gentile G. 99. Girotti F. 34. Paolo Guerrero 27. Quevedo K.
Coaches
Urciuoli F.	Guede P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Garces R. 🟨,
49', Gordillo A. 🟨,
56', Gaibor F. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
58', Huaman M. 🟨,
58', Diaz G. 🟨,
60', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
66', Cantero A. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
66', Ramos L. ↓, Girotti F. ↑,
71', Munoz A. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
78', Lupu H. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
85', Chavez G. ↓, Burlamaqui A. ↑,
90+4', Penilla C. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
90+5', Coronel F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 1.

Alianza Lima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alianza Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alianza Lima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Castillo J. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alianza Lima	11	5	4	2	16:11	5	19

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza Lima - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.89%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
08.02.26	Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Alianza Atlético - Cusco	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sport Boys - Alianza Atlético	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWT
- Alianza Lima
Copa Libertadores
11.02.26	Alianza Lima - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
08.02.26	Alianza Lima - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.02.26	2 de Mayo - Alianza Lima	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.01.26	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Alianza Lima - Inter Miami	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
27.07.25	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:1
15.02.25	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima	3:1
20.07.24	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	2:0
04.02.24	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima	0:2
26.08.23	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:0
09.04.23	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima	0:1
26.07.22	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:0

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