The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Boys 44.2%
Draw 27.5%
Alianza Atlético 28.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.6%
27.9%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
28.1%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Sport Boys - Alianza Atlético Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sport Boys will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Melian D. (G) 17. Saba E. 3. Zambrano C. 26. Riojas H. (C) 13. Llontop M. 24. Mora O. 10. Alarcon J. 11. Urruti L. 77. Celi Y. 99. Cueva C. 30. Liza P.
95. Prieto D. (G) 16. Fernandez S. 25. Guzman W. 6. Lujan J. 24. Gordillo A. 15. Lupu H. (C) 23. Munoz A. 10. Diaz G. 22. del Castillo J. 17. Penilla C. 27. Ingratti J.
Substitutes
4. Alfani R. 14. Diaz R. 5. Illanes F. 29. Loyola N. 61. Nolasco J. (G) 36. Paz N. 37. Santana A. 47. Trauco M. 2. Zambrano L.
8. Flores F. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 19. Mendieta J. 29. Molina J. 20. Perez J. 21. Perleche E. 40. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 9. Robaldo V. 28. Rossi J. (G)
Coaches
Desio C.
Urciuoli F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Liza P. ⚽,
28', Celi Y. 🟨,
42', del Castillo J. 🟨,
42', Lujan J. 🟨,
45+2', Riojas H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', Mora O. 🟨,
53', Fernandez S. 🟨,
55', Zambrano C. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, del Castillo J. ⚽, Diaz G. (A),
63', Celi Y. ↓, Trauco M. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, del Castillo J. ⚽, Penilla C. (A),
69', Desio C. 🟥,
72', Liza P. 🟨,
74', del Castillo J. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
74', Fernandez S. ↓, Perleche E. ↑,
79', Alarcon J. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
82', Penilla C. ↓, Quinones Goicochea J. J. ↑,
86', Perleche E. 🟨,
90', Munoz A. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Larios Saavedra G. A. ⚽, Quinones Goicochea J. J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Sport Boys (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Alianza Atlético is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sport Boys holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Sport Boys: Solis L.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Alianza Atlético: Villegas J. C.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Sport Boys has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:16 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sport Boys against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).