Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Peru	20:30	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	21:30	Fanatiz
Vietnam	08:30	TV 360


	Alianza Lima		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	13.00	Watch
	1.24	5.25	9.25
	1.30	5.10	10.00	Watch
	1.25	6.17	14.26
	1.29	5.2	9.2	Watch
	1.18	6.10	14.00
	1.23	5.60	11.50	Watch
	1.23	5.60	11.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)	5.6 ↑ (4.83)	11.53 ↑ (9.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
75.1%

Draw
16.7%

Atlético Grau
8.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.2%

19.2%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duarte A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 6. Garces R. 3. Antoni M. 13. Huaman M. 5. Pavez E. 7. Gaibor F. 27. Quevedo K. 20. Velez J. 99. Girotti F. 8. Castillo E.	1. Alvarez P. (C) 8. Vasquez C. 27. Tapia R. 2. Acevedo L. 3. Tapia I. 25. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 20. Vasquez A. 13. Oncoy F. 5. Guarderas R. 7. Barreto D. 99. Fernandez A.
Substitutes
11. Cantero A. 31. Carbajal C. 21. Cari P. 15. Castillo J. 4. Chavez G. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 2. Diaz N. 25. Gentile G. 9. Ramos L.	16. Ataupillco J. 96. Benites Vargas L. E. 33. Calderon A. (G) 21. Correa E. 11. Delgadillo N. 15. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 6. Rodas E. 4. Rodriguez D. 24. Ruidiaz Y.
Coaches
Guede P.	Ameli G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Quevedo K. ⚽, Girotti F. (A),
33', Pavez E. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Vasquez A. ⚽, Alfaro Martinez G. E. (A),
45+2', Quevedo K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Quevedo K. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
46', Pavez E. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽,
54', Antoni M. ↓, Chavez G. ↑,
61', Vasquez A. ↓, Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↑,
61', Barreto D. ↓, Delgadillo N. ↑,
65', Fernandez A. 🟨,
77', Fernandez A. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
78', Tapia R. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
81', Velez J. 🟨,
83', 3 - 1, Velez J. ⚽,
85', Castillo E. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
87', Castillo J. 🟨,
89', Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
90+3', Girotti F. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Alianza Lima may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Alianza Lima holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Lima has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 14:6 (averaging 1.4:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza Lima against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:2 goals (averaging 1.6:0.4 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alianza Lima	13	7	4	2	20:12	8	25
11	Grau	13	5	3	5	16:17	-1	18

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza Lima - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 71.24%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
11.10.26	Cusco - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.09.26	Alianza Lima - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
18.09.26	Alianza Lima - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLT
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
08.10.26	Atlético Grau - Los Chankas	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau	4:2 ✺
01.09.26	Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.26	Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima	0:1
01.10.25	Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau	2:1
10.05.25	Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima	1:1
18.09.24	Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima	1:0
14.04.24	Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau	2:0
23.06.23	Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau	2:0
26.03.23	Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima	1:2

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