The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Atlético 53.9%
Draw 24.4%
Sport Boys 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
26.6%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
25.7%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Alianza Atlético - Sport Boys Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sport Boys will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
95. Prieto D. (G) 37. Delgado J. 10. Diaz G. 16. Fernandez S. 25. Guzman W. 6. Lujan J. 15. Lupu H. (C) 19. Mendieta J. 29. Molina J. 17. Penilla C. 77. Valladolid C.
61. Nolasco J. (G) 77. Celi Y. 33. Davey J. 5. Illanes F. 30. Liza P. 13. Llontop M. 26. Riojas H. 47. Trauco M. 16. Valiente A. 3. Zambrano C. 2. Zambrano L.
Substitutes
18. Chilo D. 22. del Castillo J. 27. Ingratti J. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 20. Perez J. 21. Perleche E. 40. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 9. Robaldo V. 28. Rossi J. (G)
10. Alarcon J. 4. Alfani R. 99. Cueva C. 14. Diaz R. 29. Loyola N. 12. Oblitas S. (G) 36. Paz N. 37. Santana A. 11. Urruti L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Guzman W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Molina J. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
46', Penilla C. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
46', Valladolid C. ↓, Chilo D. ↑,
46', Valiente A. ↓, Santana A. ↑,
64', Liza P. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
64', Trauco M. ↓, Urruti L. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Lupu H. ⚽,
77', Lujan J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
77', Diaz G. ↓, Perleche E. ↑,
81', 🟨,
82', Zambrano L. 🟥,
85', Riojas H. 🟨,
89', 3 - 0, Perleche E. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 5-2.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 4.
Alianza Atlético has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Sport Boys has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Alianza Atlético for this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atlético has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:12 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza Atlético against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Alianza Atlético - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.29%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Prieto D. (G) 
Diaz G. 
Molina J. 
Penilla C. 
Urruti L. 
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