The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FBC Melgar 66.6%
Draw 21.3%
Sport Boys 12.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.9%
23.3%
14.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.5%
22.7%
14.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
FBC Melgar - Sport Boys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Cabezudo J. (G) 33. Lazo M. 23. Escobar J. 3. Gonzalez L. 27. Cabanillas N. 7. Bordacahar C. 26. Portillo M. 25. Minda K. 45. Zegarra M. 11. Vidales J. 9. Cuesta B. (C)
22. Melian D. (G) 17. Saba E. 3. Zambrano C. 26. Riojas H. (C) 13. Llontop M. 24. Mora O. 8. Da Campo N. 11. Urruti L. 10. Alarcon J. 99. Cueva C. 32. Erustes P.
Substitutes
12. Caceda C. (G) 16. Caceres J. 80. D'Arrigo J. 5. Deneumostier A. 8. Guzman L. 90. Jesus Alcantar 66. Orzan H. 10. Quagliata N. 77. Zanelatto F.
4. Alfani R. 77. Celi Y. 33. Davey J. 14. Diaz R. 55. Dulanto G. 5. Illanes F. 29. Loyola N. 61. Nolasco J. (G) 2. Zambrano L.
Coaches
Rondelli M.
Desio C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Portillo M. ↓, Orzan H. ↑,
41', 1 - 0, Vidales J. ⚽, Lazo M. (A),
45', Cueva C. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Da Campo N. ⚽, Erustes P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zambrano C. 🟨,
60', Zegarra M. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
74', Minda K. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
75', Vidales J. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
76', Alarcon J. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
76', Cueva C. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
89', Zambrano C. ↓, Dulanto G. ↑,
90+1', Urruti L. ↓, Illanes F. ↑,
90+2', Da Campo N. ↓, Alfani R. ↑,
90+8', Diaz R. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 4.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Sport Boys may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Melgar as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Confirmed absences for Sport Boys: Solis L.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Melgar has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:18 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Melgar against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 24:8 goals (averaging 2.4:0.8 per game).
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Cabezudo J. (G) 
Escobar J. 
Gonzalez L. 
Minda K. 
Melian D. (G) 
Saba E. 
Jesus Alcantar 
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