Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de la Juventud (Chongoyape)

Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Juan Pablo II College		Sport Boys

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	4	Watch
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.95	3.35	4	Watch
	2.08	3.15	3.87
	1.98	3.02	4.28	Watch
	1.91	3.25	4
	2.08	3.2	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.95)	3.2 ↓ (3.38)	4.01 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo II College
47.3%

Draw
29.3%

Sport Boys
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.9%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

26.1%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Juan Pablo II College - Sport Boys Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Juan Pablo II (2.52) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo II College will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juan Pablo II College will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Juan Pablo II (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 25. Alfani R. 3. Sanchez A. 26. Agurto F. 21. Vega J. 6. Flores C. 13. Rodriguez N. 7. Fernandez R. 10. Tizon C. 9. Villar E.	1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 5. Colombo R. (C) 27. Villalta B. 20. Almiron M. 31. Carbajal C. 41. Solis A. 16. Aranda S. 24. Mora O. 11. Urruti L. 7. Lopez C. 18. Rodriguez G.
Substitutes
11. Aliaga R. 16. Canova J. 17. Espinoza A. 14. Fernandez F. 29. Guevara A. 5. Peralta M. 12. Quispe I. (G) 19. Ramirez R.	35. Alvarado D. 2. Cruz Palomino E. F. 33. Davey J. 30. Dominguez A. 32. Flores V. 88. Franco E. (G) 23. Gonzales J. 36. Paz N.
Coaches
Acasiete S.	Reyes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Vega J. ⚽, Villar E. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Villar E. ⚽, Tizon C. (A),
42', Villalta B. 🟨,
45+5', Villalta B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Fernandez R. 🟨,
66', Lopez C. ↓, Gonzales J. ↑,
67', Villar E. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
76', Rodriguez N. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
76', Vega J. ↓, Aliaga R. ↑,
78', Rodriguez G. ↓, del Rosario L. ↑,
78', Carbajal C. ↓, Flores V. ↑,
78', Solis A. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Tizon C. (Pen),
89', Urruti L. ↓, Davey J. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Juan Pablo II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sport Boys's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juan Pablo II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Juan Pablo II is the team to beat.

There will not play in Juan Pablo II: Rojas A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Sport Boys: Da C. H. (Red Card) Hohberg A. (Red Card) Riojas H. (Red Card) Salazar R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sport Boys: Altuna A. (Injury) Urruti L. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 1
13.07.25	Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Atlético Grau - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Juan Pablo II College - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
27.06.25	Juan Pablo II College - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Pablo II College	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTTL
- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
12.07.25	Alianza Atlético - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Sport Boys - Cusco	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Sport Boys - Escuela Municipal Binacional	3:1 ✺
14.06.25	FBC Melgar - Sport Boys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
09.02.25	Sport Boys - Juan Pablo II College	1:0

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