Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 2

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)


	Alianza Atlético		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.20	3.80
	1.95	3.25	3.8
	1.99	3.25	3.64
	2.02	3.06	4.03	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.6
	1.9	3.25	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.64)	3.19 ↓ (3.8)	3.79 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
47.2%

Draw
28.7%

Universidad César Vallejo
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad César Vallejo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alianza Atlético - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Penilla C. ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, Perleche E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Alianza Atlético has had a series of away games.

In this match, Alianza Atlético is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
13.06.26	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Atlético	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.05.26	FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.26	Tigre - Alianza Atlético	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
24.05.26	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.05.26	Deportivo Macará - Alianza Atlético	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLTT
- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
14.06.26	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
25.05.26	ADA Jaén - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Universidad César Vallejo - Universidad San Martín	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Universidad César Vallejo - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.08.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Atlético	0:0
14.03.24	Alianza Atlético - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1
08.07.23	Alianza Atlético - Universidad César Vallejo	0:1
06.02.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Atlético	2:2
14.08.22	Alianza Atlético - Universidad César Vallejo	3:0
19.03.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Atlético	3:1
31.07.21	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Atlético	2:0

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