Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 1

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.25	10.00
	1.30	5.80	6.00
	1.22	5.94	7.75
	1.28	6.69	7.17	Watch
	1.18	5.50	10.00
	1.28	5.57	9.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.36)	5.79 ↑ (4.28)	8.34 ↑ (8.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
73.2%

Draw
15.8%

Alianza Lima
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

21.4%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

18.4%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad César Vallejo's performance.

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad César Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+2%)

Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, César Vallejo won 2.

Recent form of César Vallejo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alianza Lima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, César Vallejo is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, César Vallejo won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, César Vallejo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 2
25.05.26	ADA Jaén - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Universidad César Vallejo - Universidad San Martín	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Universidad César Vallejo - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Pirata - Universidad César Vallejo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWL
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
31.05.26	Cajamarca - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Alianza Lima - Los Chankas	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Cienciano - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Alianza Lima - Moquegua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
13.07.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	2:3
28.01.24	Alianza Lima - Universidad César Vallejo	2:1
29.07.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	1:0
11.05.23	Alianza Lima - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0
04.10.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	3:2
14.05.22	Alianza Lima - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0
29.08.21	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	0:1

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