Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza Atlético		Juan Pablo II College

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.51	3.7	5.5
	1.48	4	6.6
	1.53	3.77	6.67
	2.88	2.97	2.59	Watch
	1.54	3.85	6.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.59)	3.68 ↓ (3.79)	5.69 ↑ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
56.2%

Draw
26.6%

Juan Pablo II College
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.5%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

The chances for Juan Pablo II College have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Alianza Atlético - Juan Pablo II College Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Alianza Atlético (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melian D. (C) 30. Guzman P. 4. Villegas J. C. 13. Benincasa H. 21. Perleche E. 17. del Castillo J. 22. Ysique F. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 20. Perez J. 23. Olmedo L. 29. Graneros A.	23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 25. Alfani R. (C) 5. Peralta M. 16. Canova J. 32. Ramirez C. 6. Flores C. 13. Rodriguez N. 10. Tizon C. 18. Loyola N. 9. Villar E.
Substitutes
92. Aguinaga A. 7. Castro R. 2. Cossio A. 27. Diaz R. 33. Flores F. 24. Gordillo A. 8. Illanes F. 15. Lupu H. 95. Prieto D. (G)	26. Agurto F. 11. Aliaga R. 80. Barreto J. 14. Fernandez F. 12. Quispe I. (G) . Rasmussen M. 37. Rojas A. 3. Sanchez A. 21. Vega J.
Coaches
Ameli G.	Acasiete S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Alfani R. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Villar E. ⚽, Rodriguez N. (A),
28', Loyola N. 🟨,
45+2', Perleche E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Benincasa H. ↓, Gordillo A. ↑,
56', del Castillo J. ↓, Aguinaga A. ↑,
60', Canova J. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
60', Loyola N. ↓, Agurto F. ↑,
66', Rodriguez N. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
74', Villar E. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
74', Ramirez C. ↓, Vega J. ↑,
74', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
74', Olmedo L. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
74', Perez J. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
79', Perleche E. 🟨,
79', Rodriguez N. 🟥,
79', Sanchez A. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Alianza Atlético is the obvious favorite.

There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Fernandez F. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alianza Atlético won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
17.08.25	Cusco - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Atlético	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLTT
- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 1
22.08.25	Juan Pablo II College - Cusco	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Cajamarca - Juan Pablo II College	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Juan Pablo II College - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:0 ✺
05.08.25	FBC Melgar - Juan Pablo II College	1:1 ✺
31.07.25	Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
12.04.25	Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Atlético	1:0

Upcoming Matches