Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Cuscatlán (San Salvador)


	Alianza San Miguel		Inter FA

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.65	5.15
	1.64	3.7	5.42
	1.64	3.64	5.37	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.69	3.65	4.95
	1.63	3.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.42)	3.56 ↓ (4.25)	5.15 ↓ (7.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza San Miguel
56.4%

Draw
25.8%

Inter FA
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

21.9%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza San Miguel's form might have worsened.

Inter FA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter FA's recent form is better than expected.

Alianza San Miguel - Inter FA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Steib M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Ceren D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 2, Mauricio E. ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, Mauricio E. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Alianza is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alianza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alianza FC	12	4	6	2	19:17	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
24.01.26	Alianza San Miguel - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:3 ✺
21.01.26	Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Luis Ángel Firpo - Alianza San Miguel	1:0 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Alianza San Miguel - Cacahuatique	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWW
- Inter FA
El Salvador Primera Division
24.01.26	Inter FA - Cacahuatique	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Inter FA - Fuerte San Francisco	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Zacatecoluca - Inter FA	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Inter FA - Municipal Limeño	1:1 ✺
05.11.25	Águila - Inter FA	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
21.09.25	Inter FA - Alianza San Miguel	0:1

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