The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza San Miguel 35.8%
Draw 29.6%
Luis Ángel Firpo 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
28.9%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
28%
42.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza San Miguel's performance.
Luis Ángel Firpo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luis Ángel Firpo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza San Miguel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luis Ángel Firpo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza San Miguel - Luis Ángel Firpo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Mier M. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Diaz N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 1 - 2, Valencia J. ⚽,
87', Gonzalez M. E. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Rivas Linares E. A. ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Recently, Alianza has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Alianza has recorded 10 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:19 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 23:13 goals (averaging 2.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Luis Angel Firpo
13
7
4
2
23:9
14
25
7
Alianza FC
13
4
6
3
20:19
1
18
Last Results with these Odds
Luis Ángel Firpo - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.15%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
El-salvador
Mexico
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