Match Info
Primera Division - Apertura - Round 3Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday
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Luis Ángel Firpo |
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Alianza San Miguel |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.78 |
3.40 |
4.48 |
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1.78 |
3.47 |
4.58 |
 Watch |
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1.76 |
3.35 |
4.40 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.72) |
3.41 ↑
(3.34) |
4.49 ↓
(4.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luis Ángel Firpo
52.2% | Draw
27.2% | Alianza San Miguel
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luis Ángel Firpo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-0.8%) 
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Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luis Ángel Firpo won 3.Luis Ángel Firpo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Alianza has had a series of away games. In this match, Luis Ángel Firpo is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luis Ángel Firpo won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 1:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Luis Ángel Firpo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.6:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23:9 | 14 | 25 |
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| 6 | Alianza FC | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Luis Ángel Firpo - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.7%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| El Salvador Primera Division | | | 22.03.26 | Luis Ángel Firpo - Alianza San Miguel | 2:1 | | 24.01.26 | Alianza San Miguel - Luis Ángel Firpo | 2:3 | | 20.12.25 | Luis Ángel Firpo - Alianza San Miguel | 1:0 penalties | | 27.09.25 | Luis Ángel Firpo - Alianza San Miguel | 0:5 | | 27.07.25 | Alianza San Miguel - Luis Ángel Firpo | 3:3 | | 09.04.25 | Luis Ángel Firpo - Alianza San Miguel | 0:0 | | 12.02.25 | Alianza San Miguel - Luis Ángel Firpo | 2:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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