Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO


	Cacahuatique		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.2	1.73
	4.55	3.15	1.72
	4.77	3.3	1.8	Watch
	4.6	3	1.75
	4.91	3.14	1.73	Watch
	4.5	3.14	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (4.59)	3.16 ↓ (3.19)	1.75 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacahuatique
19.6%

Draw
28.7%

Alianza San Miguel
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

28.2%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

27.6%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cacahuatique have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Steib M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Osorio H. ⚽,
58', Carballo Diaz F. G. 🟥,
85', 1 - 1, Alesson ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cacahuatique won 0.

Recent performances by Cacahuatique have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alianza is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cacahuatique may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alianza is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cacahuatique won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:23. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cacahuatique won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.8:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alianza FC	13	4	6	3	20:19	1	18
11	Cacahuatique	14	2	5	7	14:24	-10	11

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza San Miguel - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.16%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Primera Division
17.01.26	Zacatecoluca - Cacahuatique	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Alianza San Miguel - Cacahuatique	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	CD FAS - Cacahuatique	0:2 penalties ✺
23.11.25	Cacahuatique - CD FAS	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLWL
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
20.12.25	Luis Ángel Firpo - Alianza San Miguel	1:0 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Alianza San Miguel - Cacahuatique	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
13.12.25	Alianza San Miguel - Cacahuatique	3:0
07.12.25	Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel	1:2
24.09.25	Alianza San Miguel - Cacahuatique	2:1
23.07.25	Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel	1:2
10.05.25	Alianza San Miguel - Cacahuatique	4:0
07.05.25	Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel	1:2
23.03.25	Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel	0:4

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