The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cacahuatique 27.7%
Draw 26.8%
Alianza San Miguel 45.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.8%
29.2%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
28.9%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cacahuatique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 12th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cacahuatique won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Cacahuatique (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Alianza have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cacahuatique could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Cacahuatique has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Alianza has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Alianza is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Cacahuatique has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:26 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cacahuatique against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 5:14 goals (averaging 0.8:2.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Alianza FC
16
5
8
3
23:21
2
23
11
Cacahuatique
17
2
7
8
18:29
-11
13
Last Results with these Odds
Cacahuatique - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.76%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Alianza San Miguel - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
El Salvador
Mexico
Watch
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