Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Alianza San Miguel		Sonsonate

	1	X	2
	1.42	4	6.5
	1.4	4	5.8
	1.42	4.1	6
	1.45	4.34	6.76
	1.42	3.9	7
	1.44	4.33	6.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (2.6)	4.11 ↑ (3.3)	6.36 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza San Miguel
63.7%

Draw
22.1%

Sonsonate
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.9%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

19.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza San Miguel's performance.

Sonsonate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sonsonate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza San Miguel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonsonate than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sonsonate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.1%	12.5%	9.4%

Alianza San Miguel - Sonsonate Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). Sonsonate will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza: 63.8% – 92.4%.

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Preview

Alianza San Miguel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sonsonate is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alianza San Miguel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alianza San Miguel have a series of guest games.

In this match Alianza San Miguel is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Alianza San Miguel won 19 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 61-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza San Miguel won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 34-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
05.12.20	Isidro Metapán - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
28.11.20	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	1:0 ✺
25.11.20	Alianza San Miguel - Jocoro	4:1 ✺
22.11.20	Atlético Marte - Alianza San Miguel	3:5 ✺
15.11.20	Atlético Marte - Alianza San Miguel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWWW
- CD Sonsonate
El Salvador Primera Division
05.12.20	Sonsonate - Águila	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Jocoro - Sonsonate	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Sonsonate - Atlético Marte	2:2 ✺
21.11.20	Sonsonate - Isidro Metapán	1:1 ✺
14.11.20	Isidro Metapán - Sonsonate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
22.01.20	Alianza San Miguel - Sonsonate	2:2
15.12.19	Alianza San Miguel - Sonsonate	4:1
11.12.19	Sonsonate - Alianza San Miguel	0:0
09.11.19	Alianza San Miguel - Sonsonate	3:1
31.08.19	Sonsonate - Alianza San Miguel	1:4
16.03.19	Alianza San Miguel - Sonsonate	3:0
12.01.19	Sonsonate - Alianza San Miguel	0:1

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