Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 5

Date: 7 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Cuscatlán (San Salvador)


	Alianza San Miguel		Jocoro

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.47	3.75	6.5
	1.4	3.95	6.4
	1.46	4.08	7.6
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.42	3.96	7.16	Watch
	1.46	3.9	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)	3.91 ↑ (3.91)	6.72 ↑ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza San Miguel
63.2%

Draw
23.2%

Jocoro
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

23.5%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

22.7%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Jocoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jocoro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza San Miguel won 3.

Recent matches Alianza San Miguel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jocoro has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Alianza San Miguel is absolute favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Alianza San Miguel won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 45-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza San Miguel won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
28.01.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Alianza San Miguel	1:3 ✺
24.01.24	Alianza San Miguel - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWLL
- Jocoro FC
El Salvador Primera Division
28.01.24	Jocoro - Fuerte San Francisco	0:0 ✺
24.01.24	CD FAS - Jocoro	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Jocoro - CD Dragón	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Jocoro	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Águila - Jocoro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
26.11.23	Alianza San Miguel - Jocoro	2:2
01.10.23	Jocoro - Alianza San Miguel	3:2
29.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - Jocoro	5:2
01.02.23	Jocoro - Alianza San Miguel	0:3
19.03.22	Alianza San Miguel - Jocoro	2:1
22.01.22	Jocoro - Alianza San Miguel	3:2
05.12.21	Alianza San Miguel - Jocoro	1:0

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