The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 47%
Draw 27.5%
Bentín Tacna Heroica 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
28.4%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
29.7%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Bentín Tacna Heroica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Bentín Tacna Heroica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Mosquera C. (G) 35. Cavero S. 18. Cuero J. 32. Flores A. 30. Ortega F. 67. Paico K. 47. Ramirez S. 10. Sernaque J. (C) 24. Succar A. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 22. Vivanco P.
1. Sotillo M. (G) 2. Benavente R. 30. Fajardo J. (C) 17. Flores K. 10. Garcia J. 6. Leon P. 14. Loayza G. 8. Lopez J. 24. Perez A. 26. Rodriguez K. 18. Ventura C.
Substitutes
15. Angulo T. 12. Diaz W. (G) 19. Dominguez J. 17. Mautino A. 25. Montoya C. 6. Palomino R. 14. Rengifo S. 16. Valverde M. 9. Zeta H.
3. Alvarado D. 15. Aragon F. 20. Garcia A. 29. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 27. Linares J. 28. Mendoza J. 12. Montalvo D. (G) 7. Palomino K. 5. Ricra D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
26', 1 - 0, Ventura C. (Own goal),
29', 1 - 1, Rodriguez K. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Succar A. ⚽,
44', Succar A. 🟨,
45', 2 - 2, Rodriguez K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Loayza G. ↓, Palomino K. ↑,
46', Flores A. ↓, Angulo T. ↑,
46', Vivanco P. ↓, Rengifo S. ↑,
47', Cavero S. ↓, Zeta H. ↑,
55', Ramirez S. 🟨,
60', Paico K. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
60', Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↓, Valverde M. ↑,
65', Lopez J. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
77', Flores K. ↓, Alvarado D. ↑,
78', Perez A. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑,
78', 🟨,
80', Garcia J. 🟨,
84', Garcia J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
Preview
Alianza Universidad has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tacna Heroica is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Alianza Universidad is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Universidad has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0 (averaging 0.5:0 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza Universidad against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
Watch
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Mosquera C. (G) 
Cavero S. 
Ramirez S. 
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