The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 69.8%
Draw 20%
Escuela Municipal Binacional 10.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.1%
24.8%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.6%
23.8%
15.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's performance.
Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escuela Municipal Binacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Universidad de Huánuco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Escuela Municipal Binacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Escuela Municipal Binacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Diaz W. (G) 7. Casquete A. 33. Cavero G. 18. Cuero J. 27. Cuneo O. 30. Ortega F. 6. Palomino R. 47. Ramirez S. 10. Sernaque J. 16. Valverde M. 9. Zeta H.
23. Limousin C. (G) 17. Aguirre C. 5. Borletti E. 7. Carranza T. 20. Condena A. 50. Cristhian G. 15. Gadea A. 22. Marcelin Perez J. G. 30. Mosquera A. 14. Rodriguez R. 43. Santa Maria J.
Substitutes
35. Cavero S. 19. Dominguez J. 32. Flores A. 13. Garcia A. (G) 21. Ledesma A. 8. Leguia F. 4. Mogollon E. 11. Ortega M. 5. Peral P.
37. Cochachi S. 35. Lopez A. 99. Munoz D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Condena A. 🟨,
45+7', 0 - 1, Rodriguez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Valverde M. ↓, Ortega M. ↑,
59', Zeta H. ↓, Leguia F. ↑,
59', Casquete A. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
71', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
73', Palomino R. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
74', Aguirre C. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Marcelin Perez J. G. ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Ramirez S. ⚽,
86', Ortega F. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).
Binacional is Liga 2 (Relegation Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 0.
Alianza Universidad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Binacional is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Alianza Universidad is the obvious favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).