The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Valledupar 24.4%
Draw 28.1%
Atlético Nacional 47.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.5%
28.1%
45.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
8.3%
91.7%
Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Atlético Nacional (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlético Nacional will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wallens J. (G) 60. Rosales Y. 22. Figueroa J. 32. Viveros J. 33. Lasso J. 23. Alba I. 6. Meza Mercado E. W. 17. Pardo F. (C) 55. Fernandez W. 8. Munoz J. 18. Vergara C.
34. Armani F. (G) 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 3. Parra N. 16. Tesillo W. (C) 33. Velasquez S. 26. Marin F. 19. Rengifo J. 7. Moreno M. 10. Cardona E. 29. Sarmiento A. 9. Morelos A.
Substitutes
40. Beltran E. (G) 15. Esparragoza C. 5. Franco P. 77. Martinez M. 4. Mosquera J. 10. Quinones D. 26. Rada H. 29. Rojas J. 14. Villegas C.
17. Arango C. 28. Garcia S. 35. Lozano M. 25. Marquinez L. (G) 30. Parra Atehortua K. 99. Poveda I. 31. Rios X. 24. Rosa J. 80. Zapata J.
Coaches
Ayala C.
Gonzalez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Sarmiento A. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
8', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
16', Tesillo W. 🟨,
19', 0 - 2, Morelos A. ⚽, Perlaza Perea Y. A. (A),
24', 0 - 3, Moreno M. ⚽, Morelos A. (A),
26', Alba I. 🟨,
34', 1 - 3, Pardo F. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Rosales Y. 🟨,
36', Alba I. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Velasquez S. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
46', Meza Mercado E. W. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
57', Rosales Y. ↓, Franco P. ↑,
61', Cardona E. ↓, Arango C. ↑,
61', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Rios X. ↑,
69', Vergara C. ↓, Rada H. ↑,
69', Pardo F. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
72', Sarmiento A. ↓, Parra Atehortua K. ↑,
79', 1 - 4, Moreno M. ⚽, Rengifo J. (A),
80', Moreno M. ↓, Rosa J. ↑,
90+1', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 5, Rosa J. ⚽, Parra N. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
Alianza has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Atlético Nacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Alianza has had a series of home games.
Recently, Atlético Nacional has had a series of away games.
In this match, Atlético Nacional is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).
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Wallens J. (G) 
Fernandez W. 
Armani F. (G) 
