Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau (Valledupar)

Referee: Villa Zapata J. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza Valledupar		Deportes Tolima

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.6	Watch
	2.45	3.10	2.75
	2.82	2.98	2.62	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.65
	2.69	3.05	2.74	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.7
	3.13	3.1	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.35)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.66 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alianza Valledupar
33.7%

Draw
31%

Deportes Tolima
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	57.1%	42.9%

Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wallens J. (G) 60. Rosales Y. 22. Figueroa J. 5. Franco P. (C) 33. Lasso J. 24. Cantillo F. 7. Castillo J. 15. Esparragoza C. 8. Munoz J. 17. Pardo F. 18. Vergara C.	13. Ortega M. (G) 33. Mosquera J. 3. Angulo J. 2. Angulo A. (C) 20. Hernandez J. 32. Guzman S. 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 28. Lopez E. 10. Sanchez L. 18. Florez K. 9. Sandoval L.
Substitutes
23. Alba I. 40. Beltran E. (G) 27. Londono Y. 77. Martinez M. 6. Meza Mercado E. W. 4. Mosquera J. 10. Quinones D. 29. Rojas J. 32. Viveros J.	17. Arrieta C. 23. Balanta Carabali G. J. (G) 7. Hurtado J. 71. Osorio Y. 24. Parra Osorio A. 16. Reyes V. 19. Santiago J. 8. Valencia E. 11. Valencia J.
Coaches
Ayala C.	Oliveros S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Pardo F. ⚽, Lasso J. (A),
35', Wallens J. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Sandoval L. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Cantillo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Angulo J. 🟨,
60', Esparragoza C. ↓, Meza Mercado E. W. ↑,
60', Pardo F. ↓, Londono Y. ↑,
61', Munoz J. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
62', Florez K. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
62', Lopez E. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
73', Sanchez L. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
73', Hernandez J. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
74', Vergara C. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
80', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
80', Castillo J. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
86', Sandoval L. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
88', Valencia E. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Hurtado J. ⚽, Parra Osorio A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 0.

Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.7:1.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Deportes Tolima	13	5	5	3	15:13	2	20
15	Alianza	13	3	3	7	14:26	-12	12

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza Valledupar - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.35%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Deportes Tolima - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.62%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
26.07.26	Alianza Valledupar - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
24.05.26	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Alianza Valledupar - Real Santander	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Alianza Valledupar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLWT
- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Copa
28.07.26	Deportes Quindío - Deportes Tolima	3:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.07.26	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.07.26	Deportes Tolima - Deportes Quindío	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	Universitario de Deportes - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.05.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
23.01.26	Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar	2:0
22.07.25	Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima	0:1
07.02.25	Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar	3:1
19.10.24	Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar	2:0
29.03.24	Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima	0:2
22.10.23	Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima	0:1
Colombian Copa
16.08.23	Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar	1:0

Upcoming Matches