Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Referee: Trujillo F. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	Fortaleza CEIF		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.50	1.75	Watch
	4.60	3.50	1.68
	6.25	3.90	1.55
	5.36	3.65	1.73
	4.67	3.42	1.79
	5.30	3.55	1.69
	4.92	3.62	1.81	Watch
	4.80	3.50	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↑ (3.43)	3.58 ↑ (3.28)	1.71 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
18.6%

Draw
26.4%

Atlético Nacional
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

28.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Nacional's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barlasina W. (G) 16. Cajares J. 6. Diaz Y. 2. Copete A. 23. Castillo J. 30. Solis J. 14. Pico L. (C) 28. Vivas S. 26. Rivas Torres R. D. 9. Herrera J. 8. Navarro S.	34. Armani F. (C) 6. Roman A. 28. Correa R. 16. Tesillo W. 20. Casco M. 80. Zapata J. 21. Campuzano J. 13. Rodriguez N. 19. Rengifo J. 29. Sarmiento A. 17. Arango C.
Substitutes
11. Batioja A. 20. Blanco J. 4. Cabezas E. 5. Medina Obando J. 7. Montano I. 3. Ramirez D. 12. Santander C. (G) 10. Velasquez J. 29. Wilke T.	10. Cardona E. 4. Haydar C. 26. Marin F. 9. Morelos A. 7. Moreno M. 30. Parra Atehortua K. 99. Poveda I. 33. Velasquez S. 44. Zea E. (G)
Coaches
Arias D.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Rodriguez N. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
43', 1 - 0, Copete A. ⚽, Navarro S. (A),
45+1', Casco M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Arango C. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
46', Rengifo J. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
46', Sarmiento A. ↓, Poveda I. ↑,
70', Casco M. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
71', Navarro S. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
71', Solis J. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Morelos A. ⚽, Poveda I. (A),
79', Herrera J. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
79', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Batioja A. ↑,
85', Cardona E. 🟨,
89', Copete A. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Cardona E. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Cajares J. 🟨,
90+6', Velasquez S. 🟨,

Preview

Atlético Nacional has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético Nacional is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Atl. Nacional	11	7	2	2	21:10	11	23
16	Fortaleza	13	1	8	4	14:19	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
08.08.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Llaneros SA - Fortaleza CEIF	3:1 ✺
31.07.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pereira	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Alianza Valledupar - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
29.05.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTT
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Copa
12.08.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	Canceled ✺
Colombian Primera A
09.08.26	América de Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Atlético Nacional	0:3 ✺
Colombian Copa
28.07.26	Tigres - Atlético Nacional	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Atlético Nacional - Tigres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
12.02.26	Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF	4:1
16.08.25	Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2
04.03.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Nacional	1:5
27.10.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Nacional	0:1
05.04.24	Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF	1:2

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