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Current Win Probability
Atlético Nacional 75.5%
Draw 16.7%
Deportivo Pasto 7.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
79.4%
13.9%
6.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Armani F. (G) 20. Casco M. 15. Reyes A. 4. Haydar C. 31. Rios X. 22. Cabrera E. 28. Rojas S. 80. Zapata J. 36. Escorcia R. 10. Cardona E. (C) 19. Rengifo J.
12. Banguera G. (G) 33. Garavito M. 2. Torijano F. (C) 5. Gil N. 27. Goyes H. 15. Mancilla H. 8. Serje Orozco E. C. 25. Leys F. 10. Chavez D. 16. Gil M. 7. Perlaza J.
Substitutes
32. Benitez E. 25. Marquinez L. (G) 30. Parra Atehortua K. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 40. Quesada J. 14. Rivero E. 13. Rodriguez N. 16. Tesillo W. 8. Uribe M.
29. Cordoba S. 23. Goez Y. 17. Mendez J. 18. Micolta Piedahita J. 32. Pisano M. 19. Preciado P. 36. Quinones J. 3. Rios J. 13. Valverde L. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Merino D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Cardona E. ⚽, Zapata J. (A),
41', Rios X. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Torijano F. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Escorcia R. ⚽,
56', Reyes A. 🟨,
61', Chavez D. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
61', Gil M. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
65', Escorcia R. ↓, Benitez E. ↑,
65', Cabrera E. ↓, Parra Atehortua K. ↑,
65', Cardona E. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
68', Perlaza J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
69', Gil N. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
73', Haydar C. 🟨,
73', Haydar C. ↓, Tesillo W. ↑,
73', Rojas S. ↓, Uribe M. ↑,
80', Mancilla H. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Rengifo J. ⚽, Rodriguez N. (A),
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 18th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 4.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Deportivo Pasto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Atlético Nacional has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Atlético Nacional holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Nacional has recorded 15 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 32:12 (averaging 1.6:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 18:6 goals (averaging 1.8:0.6 per game).